🤖 Sam Altman: AGI Coming in 2025

Also: AI robot's painting sells for $1M at auction

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Evolving AI
November 11, 2024

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Welcome, AI enthusiasts

In an interview with YC, Sam Altman predicts that AGI will be here in 2025. Furthermore, A portrait of mathematician Alan Turing is believed to be the first artwork by a humanoid robot to be sold at auction. TSMC has suspended shipments to China-based chip designer Sophgo after discovering its chip matched the one found in Huawei’s AI processor. ByteDance's new AI tool, X-Portrait 2, can transform still photos into realistic video animations of famous movie scenes with uncanny detail. Let’s dive in! 

In today’s insights:

  • Sam Altman: AGI Coming in 2025

  • AI robot's painting sells for $1M at auction

  • TSMC pauses chip shipments to Chinese customers

  • ByteDance AI turns photos into famous movie scenes

Read time: 4 minutes

🗞️ LATEST DEVELOPMENTS

Source: YCombinator

Evolving AI: In a recent interview with YCombinator, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said that Artificial General Intelligence, or AGI, could be here by 2025.

Key Points:

  • In an interview with YC founder Gary Tan, Altman said that OpenAI ‘basically knows what to do’ on their path to AGI.

  • Building AGI will need a lot of engineering work, but no new scientific discoveries.

  • An OpenAI researcher agrees with Altman's prediction about AGI.

Details:

In a recent podcast with YCombinator founder Gary Tan, Altman said he's excited about AGI coming in 2025. For the first time, he thinks OpenAI knows exactly what steps to take to make it happen. AGI has always been thought of as something only theoretical — meaning many people believed it was impossible to create an AI that could understand, learn, and do any intellectual task that a human can do. But now, Altman says that while it will still take a lot of hard work to build AGI, they have a clear plan. There are still some challenges they need to solve, but they are confident they can do it. More interestingly, OpenAI researcher Noam Brown said on X, "I've heard people say that Sam is just trying to build hype, but from what I've seen, everything he's saying matches what most OpenAI researchers believe."

Why It Matters:

Altman's statement shows that AGI is no longer just a far-off idea — it could actually happen soon, with clear engineering steps. If OpenAI succeeds, it could mean a new era where machines can match human abilities in all areas, which would change society in a big way.

Source: Sotheby’s

Evolving AI: A painting produced by an AI-powered humanoid robot called Ai-Da has sold for more than $1 million at a Sotheby’s auction.

Key Points:

  • An AI-created portrait of Alan Turing sold at Sotheby's for $1,084,800, much more than expected.

  • The artwork by Ai-Da Robot is the first piece made by a humanoid robot to be sold at an auction.

  • The auction shows how AI technology is becoming more connected with the art world.

Details:

The AI-generated artwork, called "A.I. God," was made by Ai-Da Robot and shows Alan Turing, the famous codebreaker and computer science pioneer. Turing wrote the first paper on AI in 1950, asking "Can machines think?". Sotheby's reported 27 bids for the artwork, which ended up selling for over $1 million, way more than the original estimate of $120,000 to $180,000. This auction is an important moment for the art world because Ai-Da is the first humanoid robot artist to have their work sold at auction. It shows how AI is becoming more involved in art and creativity.

Why It Matters:

This sale shows a big change in the art world, as AI is now not just a tool but also a creator. The mix of AI and art challenges people to think differently about creativity and who gets credit for it. The question is, as AI becomes more creative, how will traditional artists and audiences react to this new change?

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Source: Getty Images

Evolving AI: The US is making its tech fight with China more serious by stopping TSMC from sending advanced chips to China.

Key Points:

  • The US is stopping TSMC from giving advanced chips to China, which will affect AI and GPU makers.

  • This happened after a TSMC chip was found in a Huawei processor, raising security concerns.

  • The new rules block chips that are 7nm or smaller, preventing more Chinese companies from buying them.

Details:

The US has put new rules in place to stop TSMC from sending advanced chips to China. These chips are important for AI development. The US made this decision after a TSMC chip was found in a Huawei AI processor, even though Huawei is on the US restricted list. The rules target chips that are 7nm or smaller, which are used for AI and GPUs, and this will affect many Chinese tech companies. Officials in Taiwan said that TSMC will follow all international rules, while China is trying to make its own advanced chips.

Why It Matters:

These new rules make the tech rivalry between the US and China even more intense, and they directly affect the global supply of chips. China will now have more pressure to make its own chips faster so it doesn't need to rely on other countries. For companies that need these chips, this could mean delays, higher costs, and more competition for a limited supply. Could this race to become independent change the future of technology?

Source: ByteDance

Evolving AI: ByteDance's new AI tool turns still photos into realistic video clips with amazing accuracy.

Key Points:

  • ByteDance has released X-Portrait 2, an AI that changes still photos into lively video clips from popular movies.

  • The AI looks at the whole face to make it look real, instead of using only specific facial points like older methods.

  • TikTok's huge collection of videos helps ByteDance train the AI with a wide range of real expressions.

Details:

ByteDance's X-Portrait 2 system uses AI to turn any photo into a realistic video clip, showing emotions and natural facial expressions. Using TikTok's massive video database, ByteDance has created a level of realism that hasn't been seen in older tools. The AI can show detailed emotions from famous scenes, like those from "The Shining" and "Fences." This big improvement in facial animation comes as ByteDance grows its AI research around the world, opening new centers in Europe and Malaysia.

Why It Matters:

X-Portrait 2 brings us closer to professional-level character animation being accessible to everyone, which could transform content creation and creativity in exciting ways. However, with such realistic lip-syncing and character animation, it also raises questions: will we lose our grasp on what is truly 'real' in the digital age?

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