🤖 AGI's Billion-Dollar Benchmark

Also: ChatGPT Faces December Downtime

Welcome, AI enthusiasts

The twinkling lights are packed away and the world is settling back into its usual rhythm. As always, we’re here to keep the spark alive with the stories that matter. A bold new benchmark suggests AGI could come down to one number—$100 billion in returns. Ambitious or just the beginning? Meanwhile, OpenAI’s ChatGPT and Sora faced their second major outage this month. Let’s dive in! 

In today’s insights:

  • AGI's Billion-Dollar Benchmark

  • ChatGPT Faces December Downtime

Read time: 3 minutes

🗞️ LATEST DEVELOPMENTS

Source: Microsoft

Evolving AI: Defining AGI may rest on a bold benchmark: generating $100 billion in returns.

Key Points:

  • Microsoft and OpenAI define AGI as systems capable of outperforming humans in commercially valuable tasks, aiming for $100 billion in profits.

  • OpenAI anticipates profitability by 2029, making the target a long-term goal.

  • Microsoft gains access to OpenAI's tech by 2030, AGI or not, and both companies may remove the AGI clause.

Details:

Microsoft and OpenAI’s collaboration frames Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) as AI that surpasses human capabilities in most profitable tasks, targeting investor returns of $100 billion. OpenAI’s current financial trajectory suggests this milestone is years away, with first profits expected in 2029. Meanwhile, Microsoft’s agreement ensures access to all OpenAI technologies by 2030, potentially negating the need for AGI-specific clauses in their partnership. This setup underscores the financial and strategic dynamics shaping AGI’s future.

Why It Matters:

Framing AGI’s definition around profitability highlights the commercial stakes in advanced AI development. For businesses, this focus signals a future where AI systems could revolutionize industries by tackling high-value tasks with efficiency. However, the timeline and financial hurdles raise questions about immediate accessibility and ethical oversight. As companies push boundaries, are the frameworks in place to balance innovation with accountability?

Evolving AI: OpenAI’s ChatGPT and Sora experienced their second major outage this month.

Key Points:

  • OpenAI’s services were down for over four hours on Thursday due to upstream provider issues.

  • A similar outage occurred two weeks ago, linked to a telemetry service malfunction.

  • Popular APIs like Siri’s integration with OpenAI remained unaffected during these outages.

Details:

On Thursday, ChatGPT, Sora, and OpenAI’s API experienced a significant outage beginning at 11 a.m. PT and lasting more than four hours. OpenAI attributed the disruption to problems with an upstream provider. Partial recovery started at 2:05 p.m., but full restoration, including chat history, took longer. Earlier in December, a six-hour outage occurred, traced to a telemetry service. Notably, OpenAI-integrated services like Siri and Perplexity were unaffected, as confirmed by their status pages.

Why It Matters:

These outages raise questions about the reliability of AI services increasingly embedded in workflows. Frequent disruptions can hinder businesses relying on these tools for real-time applications. While unaffected integrations highlight resilience in specific implementations, the need for robust infrastructure becomes clear. As demand grows, can providers maintain seamless operations under pressure?

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